Have You Seen this Less Dire Hopefully More Accurate Coronavirus Prediction Model?
We spoke in a members call on March 27th about the modeling used to predict the spread of the coronavirus here.
Notice drop down menu to look at your country and even region/state (sorry if your country isn’t in the model, not everyone’s is).
The model is updated with actual data regularly, so the predictions change as well.
The website interface doesn’t show historical accuracy (what the model predicted relative what actually happened), which would be helpful in its usage. But, if someone wanted to track the predictions each day, or week alongside actual reported data, they could. The model, to me, is a much more optimistic picture than some of the other models being used and cited by experts and corporate media.
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P.S. for anyone here who think Bill Gates is the devil, you won’t like the model as he and his wife Melinda funded the project. To me, they are two humans doing the best they can with what they know, just like all of us. There are many, many layers to all of us (we’ve touched on that here). Well intended beings who help humanity move forward are often mischaracterized in their time (Van Gogh, Galileo, Tesla, to name a few). And of course there are opposite situations where a hero in their day also quite villainous traits (the article goes into a deeper examination of humanity’s multidimensionality). Sometimes history ends up being kinder to one’s actual contributions to this world. If you disagree, I still love you, still respect you and still probably disagree with you – emotional maturity is possible, even when we see things differently.